Knowing what weather is coming can mean the difference between having a full harvest or no harvest at all. Advances in early warning and forecasting systems can make the difference. From satellites and drones to crowdsourced data from people on the ground, technology can enable climate information to reach those who need it when they need it.

Innovation examples

  • Swarm of Desert Locusts in Samburu National Park - stock photo Swarm of Desert Locusts in Samburu National Park - stock photo

    Early warning system for locust swarms

    Above average rainy seasons create favorable conditions for locust swarms to breed. A small swarm of 1 km² can in just one day consume crops and…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Innovation examples

    Early warning system for locust swarms

    Swarm of Desert Locusts in Samburu National Park - stock photo
    Getty Images /© Jennifer Watson

    Above average rainy seasons create favorable conditions for locust swarms to breed. A small swarm of 1 km² can in just one day consume crops and vegetation that could feed 35,000 people[1]. Their invasion presents a huge threat to food security in Africa and the Middle East. In 2020, it was estimated that the desert locust outbreak in Ethiopia put over 1 million Ethiopians in need of food assistance (World Bank, 2020b). The FAO, which is leading global work on desert locust control, was instrumental in reducing the negative impact on lives and livelihoods. The Organization quickly delivered desert locust surveillance and control to the three most affected countries of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia. The FAO Desert Locust Information Service (DLIS) early warning system applies a range of different technologies to the daily monitoring of conditions that favor locust invasions.[2] The system draws on locust data shared by 20 countries and field teams via the eLocust3 tablet for data collection. The information is analyzed together with satellite imagery and weather and habitat data. This enables forecast-based alerts to be issued up to six weeks in advance of a possible invasion. To make data collection more accessible in the field, the FAO and University of Pennsylvania have developed a mobile smartphone app. Together with global GPS supplier Garmin, they also modified a satellite data communicator to enable farmers without connectivity to collect data. Locust data is sent to the FAO and then shared with teams on the ground and in the air who can quickly target and eradicate swarms using chemical pesticides and biopesticides[3].

  • Landscape topographic map Landscape topographic map

    Mapping soils to maximize food production

    In Sub-Saharan Africa, 30 percent of people are facing food insecurity, partly as a consequence of an underperforming agriculture sector.[99]
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Innovation examples

    Mapping soils to maximize food production

    Landscape topographic map
    Getty Images /© dem10

    In Sub-Saharan Africa, 30 percent of people are facing food insecurity, partly as a consequence of an underperforming agriculture sector.[1] Lack of knowledge about soil conditions has long been one of the limiting factors for managing soil fertility and achieving higher yields. In 2009, the International Soil Reference and Information Centre (ISRIC) began the first digital soil mapping of Africa, covering 42 Sub-Saharan countries.[2] The initiative, named the Africa Soil Information Service (AfSIS), combined satellite data with soil measurements taken on the ground to provide updated information on soil texture and moisture and nutrient levels in support of farmers and policymakers across the continent. Maps were made publicly available for any farmer to use when taking decisions on what type and amount of fertilizer to apply to their land to maximize food production. Advances in satellite imagery are now enabling more high-resolution and accurate assessments and predictions. While the most current information can often be obtained via a country’s national soil services, organizations such as the FAO have compiled and harmonized such information in regional datasets, or used the data to develop digital soil maps. Consistent sets of indicators and field protocols to assess soil and land health such as the Land Degradation Surveillance Framework (LDSF) can also become part of monitoring frameworks.[3]

Proven technologies  

  • Aerial view of green fields Aerial view of green fields

    Crop monitoring and irrigation control using satellite information

    Satellogic specializes in satellites that monitor the status of particular geographical areas in real time. The company has its own satellites…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Proven technologies

    Crop monitoring and irrigation control using satellite information

    Satellogic
    Aerial view of green fields
    Getty Images /© Nicolo Sertorio

    Satellogic specializes in satellites that monitor the status of particular geographical areas in real time. The company has its own satellites and is capable of providing services that optimize production processes through the analysis of satellite imagery. Services available are crop monitoring, irrigation control, tree counting, estimation of biophysical variables, production control and classification of land use, among others.

    • Contracting type: Service
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: United States
    • Availability: Worldwide
  • Wide shot of farmer kneeling in wheat field inspecting results of cut during harvest with grid illustration overlay Wide shot of farmer kneeling in wheat field inspecting results of cut during harvest with grid illustration overlay

    Crop monitoring using artificial intelligence, machine learning and machine vision

    Austral Falcon Sensing Solutions is a precision agriculture company that provides monitoring and prediction of agricultural variables. The…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Proven technologies

    Crop monitoring using artificial intelligence, machine learning and machine vision

    Austral Falcon Sensing Solutions
    Wide shot of farmer kneeling in wheat field inspecting results of cut during harvest with grid illustration overlay
    Getty Images /©Thomas Barwick

    Austral Falcon Sensing Solutions is a precision agriculture company that provides monitoring and prediction of agricultural variables. The platform uses vehicle-based machine vision, artificial intelligence and machine learning technology to capture data and digitize processes normally carried out manually in the agricultural industry. This enables faster decision-making based on quantitative information about factors such as yield, irrigation and fertilization. Data can be entered into an app which then processes the relevant data to provide crop maps, harvest estimations and so on.

    • Contracting type: Service
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: Chile
    • Availability: Worldwide
  • device designed for remote data capture and transmission in precision agricultural applications device designed for remote data capture and transmission in precision agricultural applications

    Wireless sensor networks for management of agricultural resources

    Nanoenvi® AG is a device designed for remote data capture and transmission in precision agricultural applications. The device allows the creation…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Proven technologies

    Wireless sensor networks for management of agricultural resources

    Envira IOT
    device designed for remote data capture and transmission in precision agricultural applications
    Photo:© Envira IOT

    Nanoenvi® AG is a device designed for remote data capture and transmission in precision agricultural applications. The device allows the creation of wireless sensor networks to monitor, predict and optimize the management of agricultural resources in real time due to their cloud connection. These networks give greater control to farms, enabling them to manage disease, regulate the application of plant protection products, make efficient use of water in irrigation and optimize resource use in general. Nanoenvi® AG is compatible with various types of sensors, such as meteorological (temperature, humidity, pressure, rain, solar radiation), gas (H2S, CO, CO2, SO2) or agricultural (leaf moisture, soil pH, dendrometers and so on). Through solar-powered wireless sensors connected to the cloud, the farm knows the real-time status of a wide range of variables involved in agriculture. By connecting to the service through computer, mobile phone or tablet, a farmer can take immediate crop productivity decisions.

    • Contracting type: For sale
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: Chile
    • Availability: Worldwide
  • automatic control of the main parameters when harvesting using the Internet of things and the management of agricultural machinery without human intervention through the Internet database. Technologies of the future automatic control of the main parameters when harvesting using the Internet of things and the management of agricultural machinery without human intervention through the Internet database. Technologies of the future

    Crop yield prediction using satellite and geospatial data

    S4Risk is a platform that generates insights into agricultural production through geospatial databases and satellite imagery. The technology…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Proven technologies

    Crop yield prediction using satellite and geospatial data

    S4Risk
    automatic control of the main parameters when harvesting using the Internet of things and the management of agricultural machinery without human intervention through the Internet database. Technologies of the future
    Getty Images /© Igor Borisenko

    S4Risk is a platform that generates insights into agricultural production through geospatial databases and satellite imagery. The technology enables farmers to take better investment decisions by calculating climate change-related risks to crops, for example from drought and floods, based on historical yields and guide them in buying appropriate insurance.

    • Contracting type: Service
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: Argentina
    • Availability: Argentina, Uruguay, Brazil
  • Agronomist Using a Tablet in an Agricultural FieldAgronomist Using a Tablet in an Agricultural Field Agronomist Using a Tablet in an Agricultural FieldAgronomist Using a Tablet in an Agricultural Field

    Crop monitoring and planning using sensors, drones and satellite imagery

    Sentera provides digital agronomic tools that give farmers access to real-time data about crop performance in the field. The software…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Proven technologies

    Crop monitoring and planning using sensors, drones and satellite imagery

    Sentera
    Agronomist Using a Tablet in an Agricultural FieldAgronomist Using a Tablet in an Agricultural Field
    Getty Images /© NolanBerg11

    Sentera provides digital agronomic tools that give farmers access to real-time data about crop performance in the field. The software (FieldAgent) integrates weather data with data collected from the field. Data is collected through various channels, including satellite imagery, sensors and drones which fly over fields and provide an acre-by-acre crop overview. Data can then be analyzed to forecast yields and to plan and understand the impact of various fertilization and irrigation choices in maximizing yields.

    • Contracting type: For sale
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: United States
    • Availability: Worldwide
  • Fisherman with butterfly fishing net in a lake, Janitzio Island, Lake Patzcuaro, Patzcuaro, Michoacan State, Mexico Fisherman with butterfly fishing net in a lake, Janitzio Island, Lake Patzcuaro, Patzcuaro, Michoacan State, Mexico

    Meteorological monitoring for the fisheries sector

    Clima Pesca is an initiative of the Central American Organization of the Fisheries and Aquaculture Sector (OSPESCA) highlighting the impact of…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Proven technologies

    Meteorological monitoring for the fisheries sector

    Clima Pesca
    Fisherman with butterfly fishing net in a lake, Janitzio Island, Lake Patzcuaro, Patzcuaro, Michoacan State, Mexico
    Getty Images /© Glow Images

    Clima Pesca is an initiative of the Central American Organization of the Fisheries and Aquaculture Sector (OSPESCA) highlighting the impact of climate change on the fisheries sector. The app forecasts cyclones up to two days in advance, as well as sea surface temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind waves, marine currents and so on. Due to its user-centric design and an application that integrates relevant weather information in an easy and simple way, Clima Pesca is able to help 120,000 subsistence fishing-dependent households annually. Platform users include local and national governments, academia and civil society.

    • Contracting type: Free
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: United States
    • Availability: Latin America

Frontier technologies  

  • The digital tools provided by Trapview help monitor more than 60 insect species in over 40 countries around the world. The product consists of a “smart” insect trap with cameras The digital tools provided by Trapview help monitor more than 60 insect species in over 40 countries around the world. The product consists of a “smart” insect trap with cameras

    Automated insect monitoring

    The digital tools provided by Trapview help monitor more than 60 insect species in over 40 countries around the world. The product consists of a…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Frontier technologies

    Automated insect monitoring

    EFOS/Trapview
    The digital tools provided by Trapview help monitor more than 60 insect species in over 40 countries around the world. The product consists of a “smart” insect trap with cameras
    Photo:© Trapview

    The digital tools provided by Trapview help monitor more than 60 insect species in over 40 countries around the world. The product consists of a “smart” insect trap with cameras. It is fully automated and solar powered. It provides a clear view of the various pest populations and daily sends automatic farm updates. This enables farmers to plan more accurate pest control measures and save time by not having to patrol fields and manually monitor pests.

    • Contracting type: Service
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: United States
    • Availability: Worldwide
  • Abstract blockchain technology concept. Internet security. Isometric digital cube connection background. Abstract blockchain technology concept. Internet security. Isometric digital cube connection background.

    Blockchain climate risk crop insurance

    Sprout is a startup that is leading the development of a Blockchain-based climate-risk crop insurance. The company uses satellite data and…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Frontier technologies

    Blockchain climate risk crop insurance

    Sprout
    Abstract blockchain technology concept. Internet security. Isometric digital cube connection background.
    Getty Images /© TU IS

    Sprout is a startup that is leading the development of a Blockchain-based climate-risk crop insurance. The company uses satellite data and machine learning to assess climate risk. They then send mobile messages directly to farmers to advise them on unexpected weather patterns and useful advice on how to navigate the changes on their farms. Insurance companies can then offer climate insurance to farmers using Sprout’s online web portal, where insurance and program data can be monitored. Sprout insurance contracts are made using Blockchain technology. This means the contracts are automated and protected from unauthorized changes throughout the season. Sprout was developed in Kenya but is active in multiple supply chains and crops around the world.

    • Contracting type: Service
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: United States
    • Availability: Kenya (pilot)

Horizon technologies  

  • Abstract blue color digital particles wave form network with dust and light motion background. Modern technology and futuristics science concept. 3D illustration rendering - stock photo Abstract blue color digital particles wave form network with dust and light motion background. Modern technology and futuristics science concept. 3D illustration rendering - stock photo

    “Smartdust” for detailed crop and environmental monitoring

    Micromechanical systems (MEMS), or “smartdust,” are a network of wireless devices, or “motes,” with sensors that can collect, process, store and…
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    3. Agriculture and forestry / Early warning systems, modelling and monitoring / Horizon technologies

    “Smartdust” for detailed crop and environmental monitoring

    Analog Devices Inc.
    Abstract blue color digital particles wave form network with dust and light motion background. Modern technology and futuristics science concept. 3D illustration rendering - stock photo
    Getty Images /© Shutter2U

    Micromechanical systems (MEMS), or “smartdust,” are a network of wireless devices, or “motes,” with sensors that can collect, process, store and transmit data[1]. These swarms of microscopic computers can range from 1 mm in size down to 0.02 mm and are best classified as a part of the industrial internet of things (IIoT). Each small device contains a microprocessors and sensor to monitor variables like pressure, humidity and crop status, and signal them back to users such as farmers. The devices are connected and communicate through a so-called mesh network. This consists of many of these small devices, with communication either by optical or radio frequency. Use cases include monitoring vast areas of crops to determine irrigation, fertilization and pest management needs. Analog Devices in collaboration with scientists from the University of California in Berkeley have also used the technology to measure snow depth, solar radiation, humidity and soil moisture on the snow pack in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Such information can be used to anticipate droughts and floods, as well as support water resources planning. Note: Mainstream adoption is at least a decade away, high costs (due to need for satellite tech etc.) and there are potential privacy and security concerns (potential for surveillance and military use).

    • Contracting type: Service
    • Technology level: High
    • Country of origin: United States
    • Availability: N/A

Early warning systems a key adaptation tool

It is estimated that early warning systems provide a more than tenfold return on investment, making it a key adaptation measure.[100] Remote sensing data, such as satellite imagery, and other types…
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Early warning systems a key adaptation tool

It is estimated that early warning systems provide a more than tenfold return on investment, making it a key adaptation measure.[100] Remote sensing data, such as satellite imagery, and other types of information are now helping us analyze climate events and understand how we should respond. Over half the essential climate variables used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to measure and monitor climate change are recorded using satellites. Technological advances have made it possible to gain more long-term understanding and make better predictions about climate-related changes. These include growing season length, precipitation and flooding patterns and vegetation regrowth after drought and wildfires. Meanwhile, crowdsourced data, real-time monitoring technologies and software can help trigger an early and rapid response to threats such as locust swarms. Advanced forecasts are yet unavailable to many smallholder farmers in regions most vulnerable to climate change. But context-specific and participatory approaches such as resource allocation maps and seasonal calendars backed by historical weather data and short-term and seasonal forecasts may support farmers in managing risks.[101] Strong community engagement at local level is also a key factor for success in response to hazards. The use of low-tech monitoring tools such as river and rainfall gauges combined with activities, such as community risk assessments, locally-made evacuation signs and the use of color-coded flags, drums, megaphones and runners to get warning messages out, help enable more people-centered early warning systems.[102]
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Satellites, drones and sensors see it all

Land degradation and risks to food security, especially in vulnerable regions, have spurred the development of agricultural monitoring technologies. The earliest examples of remote sensing include aerial photography, first widely used during the…
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Satellites, drones and sensors see it all

Land degradation and risks to food security, especially in vulnerable regions, have spurred the development of agricultural monitoring technologies. The earliest examples of remote sensing include aerial photography, first widely used during the First World War. Today, satellites, airplanes, balloons, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs or drones), ground-based platforms and in situ sensors can be applied to understand crop health, vegetation cover, pest attacks and weather impact patterns. Satellite imagery in particular has undergone rapid development. Commercially and publicly-available imagery offers high-resolution, multi-band recording and high re-visit frequencies. Data from these technologies tell us which agricultural areas need irrigation or fertilizer, as well as livestock roaming patterns. Pest epidemics during crop growth are closely linked to climate change. Insect monitoring, which was automated as early as 1973, can now be performed using drones equipped with LiDAR radar able to distinguish between species over a large area by observing wingbeat frequency.[103] This could be key to supporting food security. According to the FAO, up to 40 percent of global crop yields are lost annually due to pests and disease.[104]
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Access to information enables climate insurance

Farmers with access to weather and climate information are more likely to adapt their practices. Data can guide them in timing plantings, choice of crops, agroforestry practices or soil and water conservation measures.…
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Access to information enables climate insurance

Farmers with access to weather and climate information are more likely to adapt their practices. Data can guide them in timing plantings, choice of crops, agroforestry practices or soil and water conservation measures.[105] Advanced data access has enabled the development of weather-indexed insurance products. Combining historical and real-time data into such geospatial analytics helps support climate risk assessment. This may create opportunities also for smallholder farmers in low-income countries to obtain crop insurance. Insurances based on real-time remote observations and near future predictions mean much faster payout mechanisms can be put in place. However, crop insurance may be a new and complex concept for many which also requires trust in the insurance system. Adoption may therefore not be straightforward. But crop insurance may gain importance as a potentially effective measure against food insecurity. It is actively promoted by humanitarian relief organizations such as the World Food Programme (WFP) through its R4 Rural Resilience Initiative. However, for many countries, basic technology infrastructure and adoption capability is a limiting factor for technology and knowledge transfer, especially related to remote sensing.[106]
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